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R
RunwayAIActive

Revenue >$200M in 2026?

48%
$7.8M vol1,791469d left

If correct, each share pays $1.00 · Max position $10,000

Probability History180 days

50%

Market Details

Settlement

Jun 30, 2027

Total Volume

$7.8M

24h Volume

$153K

Liquidity

$4.5M

Traders

1,791

Creator Fee

2%

Position Limit

$10,000

Spread

$0.022

Currency

USDC

Resolution Source

Regulatory body or government confirmation

Resolution Criteria

Resolves "Yes" if the described event occurs before settlement. Determined by regulatory body or government confirmation. If ambiguous, resolves via community vote with 72h dispute window.

Order BookSpread: $0.022

Bids (YES)Size
$0.4701,687
$0.4601,687
$0.4501,687
$0.4401,688
$0.4301,688
$0.4201,688
$0.4101,688
$0.4001,689
Asks (YES)Size
$0.4922,796
$0.5022,796
$0.5122,796
$0.5222,797
$0.5322,797
$0.5422,797
$0.5522,798
$0.5622,798

Recent Trades

TimeSidePriceSharesTotal
2m agoNO$0.532612$325.58
2m agoNO$0.532612$325.58
2m agoNO$0.532612$325.58
2m agoNO$0.532612$325.58
2m agoNO$0.532612$325.58
2m agoNO$0.532612$325.58
2m agoNO$0.532612$325.58
2m agoNO$0.532612$325.58
2m agoNO$0.532612$325.58
2m agoNO$0.532612$325.58
1h agoNO$0.51356$28.73
1h agoNO$0.51356$28.73
1h agoNO$0.51356$28.73
1h agoNO$0.51356$28.73
1h agoNO$0.51357$29.24

Discussion(39)

A
alpha_seeker15h ago

This market is underpriced. Insider momentum is clearly building based on recent hiring patterns and patent filings.

D
deep_value15h ago

People are overestimating the probability here. There are significant regulatory hurdles that the market isn't accounting for.

P
polytrader15h ago

Just loaded up on YES. The recent news flow has been overwhelmingly positive -- check the latest SEC filing.

S
sigma_whale15h ago

Interesting to see the spread tighten. Big money moving in on the NO side over the past week. Watching closely.

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