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RunwayAIActive

Runway headcount >1000 by 2027?

55%
$8.7M vol1,740288d left

If correct, each share pays $1.00 · Max position $10,000

Probability History180 days

50%

Market Details

Settlement

Dec 31, 2026

Total Volume

$8.7M

24h Volume

$198K

Liquidity

$1.7M

Traders

1,740

Creator Fee

2%

Position Limit

$10,000

Spread

$0.027

Currency

USDC

Resolution Source

Regulatory body or government confirmation

Resolution Criteria

Resolves "Yes" if the described event occurs before settlement. Determined by regulatory body or government confirmation. If ambiguous, resolves via community vote with 72h dispute window.

Order BookSpread: $0.027

Bids (YES)Size
$0.5372,532
$0.5272,532
$0.5172,533
$0.5072,533
$0.4972,533
$0.4872,534
$0.4772,534
$0.4672,534
Asks (YES)Size
$0.5641,808
$0.5741,808
$0.5841,808
$0.5941,808
$0.6041,809
$0.6141,809
$0.6241,809
$0.6341,810

Recent Trades

TimeSidePriceSharesTotal
25m agoYES$0.576649$373.82
25m agoYES$0.576649$373.82
25m agoYES$0.576649$373.82
25m agoYES$0.576649$373.82
25m agoYES$0.576649$373.82
46m agoNO$0.469704$330.18
46m agoNO$0.469704$330.18
46m agoNO$0.469704$330.18
46m agoNO$0.469704$330.18
46m agoNO$0.469704$330.18
46m agoNO$0.469704$330.18
47m agoNO$0.469704$330.18
47m agoNO$0.469705$330.64
47m agoNO$0.469705$330.64
47m agoNO$0.469705$330.64

Discussion(13)

A
alpha_seeker8h ago

This market is underpriced. Insider momentum is clearly building based on recent hiring patterns and patent filings.

D
deep_value8h ago

People are overestimating the probability here. There are significant regulatory hurdles that the market isn't accounting for.

P
polytrader8h ago

Just loaded up on YES. The recent news flow has been overwhelmingly positive -- check the latest SEC filing.

S
sigma_whale8h ago

Interesting to see the spread tighten. Big money moving in on the NO side over the past week. Watching closely.

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