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S
Scale AIAIActive

Government contract >$1B?

30%
$9.8M vol499561d left

If correct, each share pays $1.00 · Max position $10,000

Probability History180 days

25%

Market Details

Settlement

Sep 30, 2027

Total Volume

$9.8M

24h Volume

$439K

Liquidity

$4.2M

Traders

499

Creator Fee

2%

Position Limit

$10,000

Spread

$0.025

Currency

USDC

Resolution Source

Independent third-party auditor

Resolution Criteria

Resolves "Yes" if the described event occurs before settlement. Determined by independent third-party auditor. If ambiguous, resolves via community vote with 72h dispute window.

Order BookSpread: $0.025

Bids (YES)Size
$0.2872,169
$0.2772,169
$0.2672,169
$0.2572,170
$0.2472,170
$0.2372,170
$0.2272,171
$0.2172,171
Asks (YES)Size
$0.312489
$0.322489
$0.332490
$0.342490
$0.352490
$0.362491
$0.372491
$0.382491

Recent Trades

TimeSidePriceSharesTotal
1h agoYES$0.306679$207.77
1h agoYES$0.306679$207.77
1h agoYES$0.306679$207.77
1h agoYES$0.306679$207.77
1h agoYES$0.306679$207.77
1h agoYES$0.306679$207.77
1h agoYES$0.306679$207.77
1h agoYES$0.306679$207.77
1h agoYES$0.306679$207.77
1h agoYES$0.306680$208.08
1h agoYES$0.314592$185.89
1h agoYES$0.314592$185.89
1h agoYES$0.314592$185.89
1h agoYES$0.314592$185.89
1h agoYES$0.314592$185.89

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Discussion(25)

A
alpha_seeker23h ago

This market is underpriced. Insider momentum is clearly building based on recent hiring patterns and patent filings.

D
deep_value23h ago

People are overestimating the probability here. There are significant regulatory hurdles that the market isn't accounting for.

P
polytrader23h ago

Just loaded up on YES. The recent news flow has been overwhelmingly positive -- check the latest SEC filing.

S
sigma_whale23h ago

Interesting to see the spread tighten. Big money moving in on the NO side over the past week. Watching closely.

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