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R
Relativity SpaceAerospaceActive

Terran R launches in 2026?

35%
$14.9M vol1,38413d left

If correct, each share pays $1.00 · Max position $10,000

Probability History180 days

25%

Market Details

Settlement

Mar 31, 2026

Total Volume

$14.9M

24h Volume

$1.0M

Liquidity

$1.7M

Traders

1,384

Creator Fee

2%

Position Limit

$10,000

Spread

$0.025

Currency

USDC

Resolution Source

Official company announcement or SEC filing

Resolution Criteria

Resolves "Yes" if the described event occurs before settlement. Determined by official company announcement or sec filing. If ambiguous, resolves via community vote with 72h dispute window.

Order BookSpread: $0.025

Bids (YES)Size
$0.3402,762
$0.3302,762
$0.3202,763
$0.3102,763
$0.3002,763
$0.2902,764
$0.2802,764
$0.2702,764
Asks (YES)Size
$0.3651,001
$0.3751,001
$0.3851,001
$0.3951,002
$0.4051,002
$0.4151,002
$0.4251,003
$0.4351,003

Recent Trades

TimeSidePriceSharesTotal
55m agoYES$0.365388$141.62
55m agoYES$0.365388$141.62
55m agoYES$0.365388$141.62
55m agoYES$0.365388$141.62
55m agoYES$0.365388$141.62
2h agoYES$0.325618$200.85
2h agoYES$0.325618$200.85
2h agoYES$0.325618$200.85
2h agoYES$0.325618$200.85
2h agoYES$0.325618$200.85
2h agoYES$0.325619$201.18
2h agoYES$0.325619$201.18
2h agoYES$0.325619$201.18
2h agoYES$0.325619$201.18
2h agoYES$0.325619$201.18

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Relativity Space CEO change in 2026?

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Relativity Space launches new product in 2026?

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Relativity Space layoffs >10% in 2026?

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Discussion(28)

A
alpha_seeker20h ago

This market is underpriced. Insider momentum is clearly building based on recent hiring patterns and patent filings.

D
deep_value20h ago

People are overestimating the probability here. There are significant regulatory hurdles that the market isn't accounting for.

P
polytrader20h ago

Just loaded up on YES. The recent news flow has been overwhelmingly positive -- check the latest SEC filing.

S
sigma_whale20h ago

Interesting to see the spread tighten. Big money moving in on the NO side over the past week. Watching closely.

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