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A
AnthropicAIActive

Anthropic launches new product in 2026?

51%
$7.8M vol526469d left

If correct, each share pays $1.00 · Max position $10,000

Probability History180 days

50%

Market Details

Settlement

Jun 30, 2027

Total Volume

$7.8M

24h Volume

$1.9M

Liquidity

$207K

Traders

526

Creator Fee

2%

Position Limit

$10,000

Spread

$0.024

Currency

USDC

Resolution Source

Independent third-party auditor

Resolution Criteria

Resolves "Yes" if the described event occurs before settlement. Determined by independent third-party auditor. If ambiguous, resolves via community vote with 72h dispute window.

Order BookSpread: $0.024

Bids (YES)Size
$0.4982,338
$0.4882,338
$0.4782,339
$0.4682,339
$0.4582,339
$0.4482,339
$0.4382,340
$0.4282,340
Asks (YES)Size
$0.5222,401
$0.5322,401
$0.5422,401
$0.5522,402
$0.5622,402
$0.5722,402
$0.5822,402
$0.5922,403

Recent Trades

TimeSidePriceSharesTotal
2h agoNO$0.50113$6.51
2h agoNO$0.50113$6.51
2h agoNO$0.50113$6.51
2h agoNO$0.50113$6.51
2h agoNO$0.50113$6.51
2h agoNO$0.48360$28.98
2h agoNO$0.48360$28.98
2h agoNO$0.48360$28.98
2h agoNO$0.48360$28.98
2h agoNO$0.48360$28.98
2h agoNO$0.48360$28.98
2h agoNO$0.48360$28.98
2h agoNO$0.48360$28.98
2h agoNO$0.48360$28.98
2h agoNO$0.48360$28.98

Discussion(40)

A
alpha_seeker4h ago

This market is underpriced. Insider momentum is clearly building based on recent hiring patterns and patent filings.

D
deep_value4h ago

People are overestimating the probability here. There are significant regulatory hurdles that the market isn't accounting for.

P
polytrader4h ago

Just loaded up on YES. The recent news flow has been overwhelmingly positive -- check the latest SEC filing.

S
sigma_whale4h ago

Interesting to see the spread tighten. Big money moving in on the NO side over the past week. Watching closely.

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